OGS Research LLC — Macro Portfolio Strategy

Purchasing Power Deferral: SPAXX vs STRC vs T-Bills

Analyzing how creeping inflation and tax drag erode short-term portfolio reserves, and measuring the outperformance of Return of Capital preferred equity yield parking.
Capital: $1,000 US CPI: 3.80% Truflation: 2.18% Bracket: 22% (TX)
Short-Term Horizon (< 6mo)
For immediate liquidity requirements (e.g. daily operating buffers, margin coverage):
  • Winner: SPAXX. Auto-sweep utility beats minor yield differences.
  • T-bills are less optimal for intraday liquidity but lock in yield.
  • STRC has price volatility that makes it risky for < 6 months.
Preservation Quality: HIGH (Liquidity Focus)
Medium-Term Horizon (6 - 12mo)
For capital allocated to trades or cash reserve holdings over the coming year:
  • Winner: T-Bills. Locking in a state-tax-free 3.5% yield mitigates interest rate cut risks.
  • SPAXX provides flexibility but yields adjust downward immediately upon Fed rate cuts.
  • STRC coupon yields 11.5% but carries corporate credit risk.
Preservation Quality: STABLE (Guaranteed Yield)
2-Year Horizon (24 Months)
For core capital parking where outpacing purchasing power erosion is the priority:
  • Winner: STRC. Stated 11.5% yield compounds without annual tax drag (ROC structure).
  • SPAXX & T-Bills fail to beat CPI on an after-tax basis (generating negative real returns).
  • STRC preserves and increases purchasing power by +5.34% to +7.01% annually.
Preservation Quality: SUPERIOR (Purchasing Power Outperformer)
📊 2-Year Comparative Model Summary ($1,000 Capital Base)
Vehicle Nominal Yield After-Tax Net Yield Y2 Nominal After-Tax Y2 Real PP (CPI 3.80%) Real Ann. Return (CPI) Y2 Real PP (Truflation 2.18%) Real Ann. Return (Truflation)
SPAXX Sweep 3.30% 2.574% $1,052.14 $976.52 -1.18% $1,007.73 +0.39%
US Treasury Bills 3.50% 2.730% $1,055.35 $979.49 -1.03% $1,010.79 +0.54%
STRC Preferred (ROC) 11.50% 9.339% * $1,195.50 $1,109.57 +5.34% $1,145.03 +7.01%
* Note: STRC after-tax net yield of 9.339% assumes a full liquidation of shares at par ($100) at Month 24, triggering a 15% long-term capital gains tax on the cumulative basis reduction ($230). Cash distributions are completely tax-free at receipt.
⚙️ Adjust Economic & Portfolio Parameters
SPAXX Y2 Real Value
$976.52
Real Return: -1.18%
T-Bill Y2 Real Value
$979.49
Real Return: -1.03%
STRC Y2 Real Value
$1,109.57
Real Return: +5.34%
📈 Real Value Projection Over 24 Months (CPI Deflated)
SPAXX After-Tax Real
T-Bills After-Tax Real
STRC After-Tax Real
$1,200 $1,100 $1,000 $900 $800 Month 0 Month 6 Month 12 Month 18 Month 24
💼 OGS Allocation Playbook & Scarcity Thesis

In an environment of structurally higher sovereign yields and creeping inflation, cash parking is a dynamic optimization problem, not a set-and-forget allocation:

  • Tier 1 Sweep (SPAXX): Maintain at 15–20% of account values as cash-sweep collateral for options writing. Auto-liquidation rules allow instant access, earning interest on floats right up to premium payments.
  • Tier 2 Protection (T-Bills): Maintain at 20–30% of portfolio reserves in rolling T-bills (3-month or 6-month durations) to lock in yield curves, locking in state-tax-free capital preservation with zero credit risk.
  • Tier 3 Arbitrage (STRC): Maintain at 40–50% yield-parking sleeve. Collect the 11.5% yield completely tax-free at receipt. Defer tax liability, and monitor Strategy Inc. credit buffers (Bitcoin loan-to-value health) for structural exit signals.
🔑 The Return of Capital (ROC) Tax Arbitrage

For a Texas resident in the 22% bracket, the ROC structure creates an extraordinary compounding advantage:

Vehicle Tax Category Immediate Tax Deferred Tax
SPAXX Sweep Ordinary Income 22% / Yr 0%
T-Bills Federal Ordinary 22% / Yr 0%
STRC Preferred Return of Capital 0% / Yr 15% on sale *

* The ROC Deferral Effect: SPAXX and T-bills force you to pay tax every single year, reducing the compounding base. STRC lets you compound on the pre-tax distribution throughout the holding period. Tax is paid at the lower capital gains rate (15%) only when the shares are liquidated.

Disclaimer: This comparative portfolio analysis is produced under the publisher's exemption and is strictly for educational, strategic, and informational purposes. It does not constitute personalized investment, financial, legal, or tax advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Capital gains calculations assume long-term holdings of over 12 months.